Technical Note

My analyses are based on composite charts that combine data for the New and Full Moons of each month.

Monday, June 30, 2008

Obama's Electoral Prospects

Obama's Electoral Prospects

Barrack Obama's 2008 campaign charts are generally strong, dynamic and resilient. No one could do what he has without strong charts. But there are weaknesses in them. While I acknowledge those strengths, and am drawn by them, I have serious doubts about his viability as a presidential candidate.

Obama's candidacy resonates with America's need for healing. This energy dominates the election day chart. That could backfire. Americans famously favor messages of optimism and self-reliance. Voters often choose denial over honesty, too.

A big question mark also hovers over a particularly strong and particularly violent planetary influence weaving through all of these charts. Depending on how it manifests, this influence could destroy Obama's chances for election.

(For this analysis, I depended primarily on multi-composite midpoint charts. They combine planetary positions for several dates in a single chart. I used dates for Obama, the US, the Democratic Party and election day in various combinations. What I call the “election day chart” combines all four.)

On the Upside

There is a long line of simultaneous semi-squares in Obama's recent Solar Arc charts. These indicate a highly organized, vigorous and generally effective campaign effort. However, these aspects peaked early this year and will be passing out on election day.

There is a grand trine between Mercury, the Moon, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, and Chiron in the midpoint composite chart for Obama and the US. The Moon and Jupiter are close enough together to draw both into this healing trine. That is a good sign.

During the presidential campaign, solar arc Jupiter will closely conjoin the US natal Moon in Aquarius. The Moon rules Cancer, the US Sun sign. Jupiter rules Sagittarius, the US rising sign. This will make election day an especially exuberant, deep, meaningful and important expression of US national identity, pride and intent.

The positive Moon/Jupiter aspect in the Obama/US composite chart resonates strongly with this Jupiter/Moon solar arc conjunction. That is yet another good sign.

Could Be Good, Could Be Bad

There are powerful tensions in Obama’s campaign charts. They can trip up Obama and his advisors. In most cases, however, other aspects can be used to turn them into sources of dynamism and motivation.

They might stir controversy and tension and generate a little bad press. But handled properly, they can also enliven debate, energize Obama's followers and spark creative political efforts.

For example . . . The midpoint composite chart for Obama and the US contains an opposition between Neptune, the Moon and Jupiter. Neptune often gives you the feeling that you are not seeing things clearly when you want to be seeing things clearly. It can also create the sense that you are being seduced or deceived.

This strongly suggests that American voters really are having a hard time understanding who Obama is, let alone identifying with him. American voters aren't sure they see themselves reflected in Obama, or what exactly they do see reflected in him. These aspects resonate with common criticisms of Obama’s campaign.
However, this confusing, problematic energy will likely be captured by the grand trine in the same chart. It will push his supporters to explore and build on the energies of the grand trine. That in turn will clarify Obama’s message and expand and solidify Obama's support.
The Definite Downside

Obama's birth chart includes a troublesome T-square. It is between Mercury, Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune. It means that his ideas are not always realistic. There is a learning curve there. This aspect echoes common criticisms of Obama the candidate, too.

There are also Uranus/Moon/Ascendant issues in his natal chart. These account for Obama's link to people who express their ideas in 'misguided' ways.

Recall the Rev. Jeremiah Wright , a protestant minister, and Michael Pfleger, a Catholic priest. In one of his sermons Wright famously said, "God damn the United States." Father Pfleger, for his part, claimed that Hillary Clinton thought her white skin entitled her to the Democratic nomination.

Such things will certainly come back to haunt him.

Things to Keep a Close Eye on

I have mentioned the strong healing, Chiron influence in Obama's campaign charts.

In the election day chart, Chiron is exactly conjunct the extremely sensitive fourth house cusp. It is also closely conjunct the Moon and the south node. Both form a yod, a double quincunx, with Jupiter and Mars.
The south node, however, is something you’d probably rather avoid. Also, confusing Neptune and conspiratorial, manipulative Lilith are too close to the planets that make up this powerful structure for comfort.

Chiron on the fourth house cusp heavily underlines Obama's strong appeal as a healer. However, the yod formation, the south node, Neptune, and Lilith all suggest that voters are deeply, deeply ambivalent about the whole notion of healing. They aren't sure they really need healing or trust the doctor or that they would like the remedies he might apply.

Most Worrisome by Far

The above concerns pale in comparison to those raised by another prominent planetary influence. This influence shows up in just about all the charts I studied for this analysis.

It also shows up in charts for the Democratic convention and the 2009 Presidential Inauguration. It is not present in McCain's charts.

The influence is strongest and most disturbing in the multi-composite chart for Obama, the US, the Democratic Party, and election day—the election day chart. In this chart Pluto is exactly conjunct Saturn in Virgo in the 12th house. They are separated only by about a quarter degree of arc. Both receive a broad, aggravating square from explosive little Mars and problematic opposition from disruptive Uranus.

But it is almost impossible to put a pretty face on it. It is violent, explosive and likely to manifest very concretely.

As I write this, there are disturbing reports from Orlando, Florida. Vandals spray-painted sixty public vehicles. Some of the graffiti included explicitly racist and anti-Obama messages . Generally speaking, American voters don’t like campaigns that might seem to use or attract violence.

If I were asked to comment, I would say that Obama, his advisors and his supporters underestimate the intensity of fear and discontent at the grass roots, i.e., among Hillary’s base. I would also say that the Obama camp seriously underestimate just how frustrating, or maddening, Hillary’s base finds his flowery, overly idealistic rhetoric.

I usually like to be right about my predictions. This time, I will be very happy if I am completely wrong about this particular influence.

So, there are, indeed, many strengths in Obama's campaign charts. But there are also serious problems in them, one influence most especially. That single problem is grave enough to destroy his chances for election. We will have to see how it plays out on the ground.

With regard to the confusion about who Obama is, whether or not he reflects the American identity, and all the strange characters he seems to hang out with: many voters might not like McCain, but come election day it could well be a matter of “better the devil I know.”

Next Month: McCain

Friday, June 20, 2008

Astrology Forecast for July 2008

For Everyone ~ This month brings a combination of flux and stability. We achieve a new and relatively secure status quo. This will lessen our concerns about the future. However, we will also find ourselves grappling with some things. We have a safe place to stand, but we will have difficulty integrating other people or needed resources into our situation. The important thing to remember is that we succeeded in achieving our new situation by observing certain principles. We must gain a deeper grasp of these principles and not be quick to abandon them for the sake of achieving short term personal, financial or romantic goals. Doing so could cause real difficulties.

Sign by Sign Analysis for July 2008

Aries ~
Sometimes stalemate isn’t bad. If you feel overwhelmed and blocked, don’t worry. It’s going around. Family, professional and community relations are all in flux. There’s a lot of discussion but it isn’t always helpful and it isn’t always amicable. Also, the groundwork hasn’t been laid for the next stage. The thing is, you’ve arrived at a major turning point. Lots of new things are going down. Be patient. Study the issues. Make careful decisions. Your situation is actually stable and secure. You also have lots of flexibility. Expect significant progress.

Taurus ~
Share your insights. Be persuasive. The situations in which people find themselves now are very complex and there just are no quick and easy solutions. But Taureans do have special insight into current conditions. Other people would profit considerably from your advice. It may take some convincing, though. People aren’t in the mood to listen to reason and much of what you have to offer might seem new and unfamiliar to them. You should also reassure people. Despite appearances, conditions are fairly stable and no one is at immediate risk.

Gemini ~
Stay on your toes. You will probably have to make a lot of quick decisions for others. To succeed, people need to keep things on track in the midst of flux. Many who you depend on for a living will need your active assistance in a situation that no one really understands yet. And your continued success will depend on their continued success. You must help people decide quickly what goes and what stays and how to make it all fit into workable patterns. Things will stabilize as June progresses.

Cancer ~
Be yourself. Need, confusion and change are making people panicky. You’re standing near the source of the hassles and some will mistake you for the problem. You’re also standing close to the source of the answers and some will mistake you for the solution. Both are problematic. Remember what you stand for and gently hold your ground. Things will settle down mid-month. The difficulties caused by the misconceptions of others is a taste of things to come. Start concentrating on how to make others understand who you really are.

Leo ~
Don’t upset the economic applecart. A lot of stuff is going on that you can’t get a handle on. It is threatening to gum up your financial plans. The important thing is how you respond to this situation. Make gradual adjustments to your finances until you get just the right fit. Guard against impatience and recklessness born of impatience or you could find yourself with a totally out of control financial situation. Mid-month will bring calm. But your tendency toward reckless or impatient financial decisions won’t go away completely.

Virgo ~
Be careful with your new found power. Confusion will run high in July as so many people make so many changes so fast. The stars are providing some cover but there is still risk. Despite the confusion, it will be almost too easy to get your way. Where others find obstacles, you will find a path. Where others find rejection, you will find acceptance. Where others are ignored, you will have influence. Take extra care so that you don’t unwittingly short-change others or simply steamroll over their legitimate claims.

Libra ~
Keep your work-life balance. Work demands will increase significantly, threatening to take over your life. The chaotic, undefined nature of these demands will make them hard to contain. Pressing financial needs will make it tough to turn down the increased work. Also, these demands will come from high places and be re-enforced by community expectations. The effect could be disruptive of your lifestyle. Fortunately, the disturbance will be temporary. Take advantage of a mid-month lull to make changes that will help you accommodate future spikes in activity.

Scorpio ~
Bide your time. It might be hard to get your point across, at least in the early part of July. You might be moodier than usual. Also, your ability to communicate will be somewhat overwhelmed by the complexities of the situation. You need to think things through and rethink some things you thought were settled. Things will improve by mid-month. The strong forward momentum you were feeling and which seems to have slowed will return soon. Meanwhile, profit from this chance to gain deeper insight into complex personal situations.

Sagittarius ~
Be diplomatic. July’s action is at the other end of the playing field from where you stand. Key associates and authority figures may be closer to the action than you, also. Because of the direct impact on your affairs, you can’t afford to ignore what’s going on. However, none of them have as good a handle on things as they might think. The risks are greater than they realize, too. If you bring up your issues politely, they will be open to suggestion. Be tactful despite the urgency you feel.

Capricorn ~
Insist on being included. People are very busy with their own issues and you’re far from the scene of the action. They might think your opinion is irrelevant. They might also be feeling a bit testy, even panicky. However, your perspective is valuable. You also have the experience to understand what is going on. And you can make things happen for people. Later in July, when conditions are calmer, you can contribute more easily. Even so, you will probably need to hone your communication skills to get your message across.

Aquarius ~
Take the long view. You might be getting impatient with long-term financial matters or complex financial dealings. Flux and uncertainty on the job complicate things further. Avoid impulsive decisions to remedy these situations. Haste now could lead to big regrets later. You will probably just have to bide your time until things calm down on the work front and you’ve had time to think the financial stuff through. New developments will soon change your ideas about what is possible. And your inspiration will return to its usual high levels.

Pisces ~
Money isn’t always the answer. Home, family and romantic issues are causing a lot of confusion and frustration. It can be very difficult to integrate a new person into your close circle of friends and relations, especially when tight finances limit what you can do to strengthen your new relationship. Don’t ignore or underestimate the importance of spiritual or psychological insights. Using deeper inner resources will prove more effective than spending money. The present stalemate is temporary. New directions and promising new options will eventually emerge. Meanwhile, look more deeply.